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Invicta FC 23 predictions

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Vanessa Porto (EL, Invicta FC)

Invicta FC is returning to Kansas City with a pretty decent fight card. Undefeated prospect Agnieszka Niedzwiedz takes on seasoned veteran Vanessa Porto in the main event of the card. Additionally, this card also features a flyweight bout between veterans Sarah D'Alelio vs. Roxanne Modafferi, the return of former Invicta FC atomweight champion Herica Tiburcio, and much more.

What: Invicta FC 23

Where: Scottish Rite Temple, Kansas City, Missouri.

When: Saturday, May 20. The 8-fight card is scheduled to air live at 8:00 p.m. ET on UFC Fight Pass.


Vanessa Porto vs. Agnieszka Niedzwiedz

Nice clash of styles here in the main event of Invicta FC 23.

The 33-year-old Vanessa Porto is a veteran of women’s MMA and has been fighting for over 12 years. Despite her vast amount of experience in fighting professionally, Porto still remains fairly unpolished in her skill set. The Brazilian fighter tends to turn fights into brawls, often leaving her exposed to counter strikes of takedowns, and sometimes has a hard time pacing herself. Regardless, Porto is still a tough heavy-hitter that can overwhelm technical fighters on the feet. And on the ground, Porto possesses a decent submission defense.

Meanwhile, Agnieszka Niedzwiedz is a young, undefeated prospect that has only been fighting professionally for four years. Niedzwiedz doesn’t pack much power behind her strikes, doesn’t have much speed on the feet, but does have a varied striking arsenal. The 22-year-old fighter does a great job at setting up takedowns with punches, and on the ground, Niedzwiedz has excellent top control and submissions.

So will Porto overpower the technical Niedzwiedz? Possibly. After all, Porto has been able to find success with her style, compiling together a winning record of 18-7. However, I think Niedzwiedz is far more technical than Porto. Close fight but I think Niedzwiedz uses her takedowns and ground game to win a decision.

Pick: Niedzwiedz

Sarah D'Alelio vs. Roxanne Modafferi

Two seasoned veterans will battle it out here in the co-main event of the card.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the UFC picked up Sarah D'Alelio in the near future to add to the new flyweight division. D'Alelio is currently on a four-fight win streak, including a submission win over Andrea Lee. D'Alelio is a tough, well-rounded fighter with a very strong ground game and solid striking.

Roxanne Modafferi is also a very well-rounded fighter, and like D'Alelio, she’s also been doing well as of late. Since her run in The Ultimate Fighter 18, Modafferi has put together a solid record of 5-2. Modafferi is a technician on the ground with excellent top control. On the feet, Modafferi is not too bad, but her lack of power and athleticism hinders her overall game, specially her striking.

I see this being a fun bout, but I think D'Alelio’s power and speed, along with her technique, will be enough to stop any type of offense from Modafferi.

Pick: D'Alelio

Herica Tiburcio vs. Tessa Simpson

Tiburcio is a strong and stocky fighter in the atomweight division that’s been around for quite some time. Tiburcio is a former Invicta champion with a professional MMA record of 10-4 that includes a win over current UFC fighter Michelle Waterson. The 25-year-old fighter is a great boxer that fights at a good pace. Tiburcio also has good takedowns and solid jiu-jitsu.

Meanwhile, Tessa Simpson a bit less experienced with a professional record of 5-1. Simpson is a big longer than Tiburcio and strikes at longer range. Simpson fights at a decent pace and has shown great diversity in her strikes.

I think this should be a very fun fight, but I think Tiburcio’s experience, strength and wrestling will enough to earn her a victory against Simpson.

Pick: Tiburcio

Elizabeth Phillips vs. Kelly Faszholz

I like this fight and I think it has the potential to be very entertaining.

Elizabeth Phillips is a very tough fighter that fights at a high pace and likes to dictate the action. Phillips is generally a good striker that likes to move forward, but when needed she can grapple. I think Phillips is better than her 6-5 MMA record suggests. On the other hand, Kelly Faszholz is good fighter with a misleading fighting record of 3-2. Faszholz is a decent grappler, but she shines best on the feet. Faszholz has nice, technical boxing, she can put combinations together well, she’s very familiar with her range, and she carries power in her punches.

I think Faszholz should be a comfortable pick here, but she’s sometimes a slow starter and that has cost her a few fights. Competing against someone as active as Phillips, a slow pace can be big factor in the judges’ eyes. I’m going to go hesitantly pick Faszholz to earn a stoppage or a close decision.

Pick: Faszholz

Rest of the card:

Andrea Lee def. Liz Tracy

Ediane Gomes def. Pam Sorenson

Christine Ferea def. Tiffany van Soest

Shaianna Rincon def. Brooksie Bayard