UFC featherweight champion Jose Aldo hasn't been submitted in a fight since 2005.
In fact, he's only been submitted once in his 26 professional bouts. Competing at lightweight, Aldo was caught with a rear-naked choke at Jungle Fight 5 15 months into his career and hasn't been beaten since.
Well, John Kavanagh of Ireland's Straight Blast Gym believes Conor McGregor could be the second man to tap the champ.
"I'll put it like this: it wouldn't shock me at all if Conor were to submit Aldo, especially as Aldo starts to tire," Kavanagh wrote in a column for The 42. "Conor has a fantastic guillotine off his back and a really good triangle and armbar too, so there'll be plenty of opportunities to submit Aldo when fatigue sets in and he starts to leave himself exposed."
Kavanagh, a Brazilian Jiu Jitsu black belt under American Matt Thornton [Rigan Machado->Chris Haueter->Thorton], awarded McGregor his brown belt in September after he knocked out Dustin Poirier at UFC 178.
"That could be one that's worth a few quid in the bookies," said Kavanagh. "I've never seen Conor roll with a black belt and look out of place. Conor is a very high-level brown belt, not far off black-belt level at all, and at that level there's not much difference between the two. Conor by submission, it could definitely happen."
Kavanagh credits McGregor's 2010 submission loss to Joseph Duffy for being the catalyst for his 'obsession' with grappling. McGregor claimed in January that he would be competing at this weekend's IBJJF European No-GI Open in Rome, but doesn't appear to be registered.
McGregor's lone submission win came in 2012 when he caught Dave Hill in a rear-naked choke to become the Cage Warriors featherweight champion. Both of McGregor's losses have come via submission, one by choke and the other a kneebar.
A black belt under Nova Uniao chief Andre Pederneiras, Aldo was considered a rising star in sport Jiu Jitsu in the early 2000's. He even famously won a pair of matches against 4X black belt world champion Rubens 'Cobrinha' Charles at brown belt.
Saying Aldo's style is 'just not that hard to mimic' and that he has 'a long list of guys' that could, Kavanagh believes Aldo will revert to his grappling base fairly soon into the fight.
"I expect the fight to go one of two ways: they'll exchange shots and Aldo will go down in one round, or else Aldo will grapple his way into the second round - maybe even the third - but that will tire him because he's not used to doing that. Then Conor will put him away."
Aldo defends his title to McGregor July 11 at UFC 189 in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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@Rampage4real hey sorry to hear this man , I'd be lying if I told you I'm surprised , where u do the trail , Jersy ????— Edward Alvarez (@Ealvarezfight) April 7, 2015
So many takers.
@BensonHenderson it will be a big cut for me, but I'll give it a shot. Lol— Chas Skelly (@ChasSkelly) April 7, 2015
Cathal Pendred (@PendredMMA) April 7, 2015
Jorge Masvidal UFC (@GamebredFighter) April 7, 2015
Sarah Kaufman (@mmasarah) April 7, 2015
To a lesser extent.
Chris Camozzi (@ChrisCamozzi) April 7, 2015
Everyone is volunteering to fight Maldonado. He's like MMA's power ball at the moment #UFC— Derek Brunson (@DerekBrunson) April 8, 2015
Get well soon.
Paul Felder (@felderpaul) April 7, 2015
" We Can't Always See Where The Road Leads But God Promises There's Something Better Ahead. We Just Have To Trust Him" With That Being Said I Have To Pull Out Of My World Series Of Fighting Fight June 5th Because Of An Injury During Training. Unfortunately In This Game Most Of Our Training's Harder On Our Body Then The Fight. I Wanna Thank Everyone For Their Continued Support & I'll Be Back & Ready To Put On #TeamRealDeal #GDUPWORLDWIDE
Joe Warren (@JoeWarrenMMA) April 7, 2015
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