Feb 25, 2012 - Fighter vs. Writer is back, this time for a showdown with a legend. After speaking with former UFC light heavyweight champion and MMA great Chuck Liddell to get his recollections from the last UFC event in Japan, I was also fortunate enough to get his predictions on some of the fights on UFC 144’s main card.
And while I may not be a famous man in Tokyo (thanks to Ariel Helwani, now we know that), I can still hold my own in a head-to-head fight-picking contest with the best of them. Mr Liddell, it’s an honor and a privilege.
Frankie Edgar vs. Ben Henderson
Liddell: Edgar via TKO. "That’s going to be an exciting fight. I like both those guys, but I’ve got to go with Frankie. That guy can fight. I can’t go against Frankie...I mean, I have before, both times with B.J. and the second time with Gray. But he’s tough, man."
Fowlkes: Edgar via decision. I’ve also been burned when I picked against the undersized, underrated Edgar, and I’m not making the same mistake again. Henderson may very well prove to be his toughest test yet, but I think Edgar’s quickness and overall savvy with be enough to edge the challenger on the scorecards.
Quinton Jackson vs. Ryan Bader
Liddell: Jackson via TKO. "Bader, I think there’s a question mark on his chin after getting dropped by Tito. Tito’s not known for his power (laughs), and Rampage is. That’s dangerous for him."
Fowlkes: Bader via decision. It’s somewhat unfair, since Chuck made his prediction before Rampage missed weight and blamed it on injuries, but I’ll take my advantages however I can get them. Jackson’s motivation was already a question for me (as was Bader’s chin), but knowing that he’s not coming into this fight at 100 percent makes me rethink my initial pick. I like Bader’s chances to take out a diminished Jackson -- as long as he can stay conscious.
Mark Hunt vs. Cheick Kongo
Liddell: Hunt via TKO. "I like this one just to sit down and watch. Those two guys should hit each other a bunch. As long as they don’t turn it into a wrestling match, I’m good."
Fowlkes: Hunt via TKO. It’s possible that Kongo will out-wrestle him, but I doubt it. He’s giving up too much size and strength, and Hunt’s grappling gets better every time we see him. If Kongo has to stand in front of him -- and eventually he will -- he’s getting knocked out.
Jake Shields vs. Yoshihiro Akiyama
Liddell: Shields via decision. "You know, I’m a little biased here. I like Jake. I think he takes him down and controls him. I’d like to see him submit him, but I think it’ll probably go to decision."
Fowlkes: Shields via decision. He’s the superior grappler, and unlike Akiyama he never seems to feel the need to take unnecessary risks just to make sure the crowd gets its money’s worth. It’s resulted in fewer bonuses for him lately, but more victories.
Anthony Pettis vs. Joe Lauzon
Liddell: No pick. Chuck explained that he hadn’t watched enough footage on either man, and didn’t feel comfortable making a blind pick. Can’t blame him for that. Of course, the Fighter vs. Writer Unified Rules clearly state that he cannot receive credit for this one unless it ends in a draw, a no contest, or just flat out doesn’t happen for any reason.
Fowlkes: Pettis via decision. It’s going to be an interesting challenge for him, but he’s better than Lauzon on the feet and a good enough wrestler to keep it there. I think he clearly outpoints Lauzon down the stretch, even if he might not be able to put him away.
Liddell picks: Edgar, Jackson, Hunt, Shields, nobody
Fowlkes picks: Edgar, Bader, Hunt, Shields, Pettis
20 comments
Comments
I already had a small bet on Bader as Jackson seems to be losing interest
but within 5 min. of Rampage missing weight by that much I put a bigger bet on Bader.
Glad to see someone else has faith in Hunt couldn’t tell how much my heart was influencing my decision to bet on the cool Samoan.
Since Shields accused Akiyama of being a dirty fighter after stabbing GSP in the 3 times I’m betting against him hoping the MMA Gods will serve up a karmic bitch slapping.
Blessed is he who is righteous for the sake of righteousness. (Zoroastrian prayer)
by AriesKJJ on Feb 25, 2012 8:27 AM EST reply actions
Rampage is seriously injured thats why!!!
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by bignmean on Feb 25, 2012 1:35 PM EST up reply actions
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by bignmean on Feb 25, 2012 7:29 PM EST up reply actions
Hi Ben,
thanks for this, I can understand why you’re picking Edgar (me too) but a few writers have been saying that they don’t know if Edgar will have the speed advantage in this fight so its interesting that you do.
'If you don't have humility as a fighter, fighting will bring humility to you...'
by rohedron on Feb 25, 2012 9:57 AM EST reply actions
Edgar by ko???? lol
I love Frankie, but saying he going to KO Henderson is crazy talk. Henderson never been KO before, and he has taken some big shots ( even the matrix kick did not KO him…)
I will say Henderson looked a whole lot smaller than he usually does at weigh ins. He looked way 2 skinny to me which worries me i though he was going to come in as he usually does with the towel. I was giving Hendo the win base on his size, but now that he looked much smaller i think Frankie chances of winning went up, and now i think he is going to win. Also i picked shields, but man Sexyama looked great. Looks like he cut that weight very properly. His cardio should be outstanding I’m changing my pick, and i think Sexyama is going to man handle shields with his world class judo. Moreover, i had Rampage winning 2, but he is not the same Rampage that faced Jones. I think Bader is going to destroy Rampage tonight. Can’t believe weigh ins changed my picks in 3 fights :( lol
What you going to do when you know who? How you going to deal with the man of steel? And how will you react to Sonnen's attack?
by Alfxtream on Feb 25, 2012 11:17 AM EST reply actions
I wouldn’t change my picks based on how guys look at weigh ins.
by FrontxxRunner on Feb 25, 2012 6:22 PM EST up reply actions
liddell has obvious brain damage from too many knockouts
how the hell anyone can possibly think that a small white guy
some how has “better footwork and faster hands” than a black/asian
ninja is mind boggling- henderson will expose this over rated
midget in the first round— this is a LOCK bet a lot on hendo—and thank me sunday
by johnny vicious on Feb 25, 2012 12:29 PM EST reply actions
Probably because the small white guy is a better boxer and has trained his handspeed and footwork more then black/asian man in this specific scenario. But ya’ know, just keep going around and stereotyping things like MMA fights solely based upon your extensive knowledge on the human races and their vast differences.
by OptimusPiss on Feb 25, 2012 5:26 PM EST up reply actions
this is basic physics the bigger stronger more athletic fighter
with the superior genetical dna will beat the smaller weaker less
athletic opponent but dont take my word for it just watch and learn
henderson will not only win he’ll finish him take that to the bank son
by johnny vicious on Feb 25, 2012 7:54 PM EST up reply actions
DOH!
Your right. Henderson looked good against another guy with good footwork and fast hands when he fought Anthony Pettis….wait a minute!
You see what I did there?
by FrontxxRunner on Feb 25, 2012 6:23 PM EST up reply actions
wow that is some racist crap there.
by t04 on Feb 25, 2012 8:41 PM EST up reply actions
Theft
This entire concept is a theft from the King of Predictions Facebook site! MMA Fighting is welcome to use KoP as their prediction game, but this is just a shame; copycating from a smaller player…
by King of Predictions on Feb 25, 2012 12:46 PM EST reply actions
Not sure if serious…
by jammin.. on Feb 25, 2012 4:35 PM EST up reply actions
and KoP was the very first to do this? the every first to predict fights? the very first to ask some one that was/is in the sport what they thought? made a bet or anything like it? wow KoP must be close to 10k years old. never knew the net was that old. guess you learn something everyday.
by t04 on Feb 25, 2012 8:50 PM EST up reply actions
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by Jaber on Feb 25, 2012 1:17 PM EST reply actions
Nah
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by Jaber on Feb 25, 2012 1:19 PM EST reply actions
I got Ben by 4th round tko
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