Feb 17, 2012 - Diego Sanchez promised and delivered a dogfight, surviving a rough opening two rounds to nearly finish Jake Ellenberger in the third. It was the kind of gritty performance that has become expected of Sanchez during his 17-fight tenure in the UFC.
Now 30 years old, Sanchez's future in the sport hold a bit of uncertainty. For one, he has discussed the possibility of making the move back down to lightweight for his next fight. In addition, there is the question of how these wars he's waged have affected his body and possibly stolen some years on the back end of his career. At his age, he's certainly not over the hill, yet there's no denying that he's had some troubles over the last two years. He's now 2-3 in his last five fights, and one of his wins -- a decision over Martin Kampmann -- was considered by many to be a gift from the judges.
Regardless of his won/loss record, he comes to fight every time, so there is still a place for him in today's UFC. But you have to wonder if that style will eventually be his undoing. No one is suggesting he retire, only that he put more emphasis on his defense in the hopes of extending a career that has provided many thrills.
On to the predictions…
Jake Ellenberger
His future hinges on Carlos Condit. If the new UFC interim champion decides to fight again instead of waiting for Georges St. Pierre to return, Ellenberger is the man most likely to get the call to stand across from him in a bout that would be a rematch of their 2009 matchup that ended in a Condit split decision. Condit has yet to decide what he'll do, but at least their schedules are basically synced up, so there's no rush to make something happen. My gut instinct now is that Condit will wait and cash in his chip later this year. That will give Ellenberger time to take one more fight.
Prediction: He plays the waiting game and faces the Josh Koscheck-Johny Hendricks winner
Diego Sanchez
It's hard to look into the crystal ball when Sanchez himself hasn't yet decided upon whether he belongs in the welterweight or lightweight division, but last time he was fighting at 155, BJ Penn was the champion. It's a different world there now, and I think that's what will draw Sanchez back to lightweight. I'm expecting him to move back down.
Prediction: He takes some time off to move down, then faces someone like Joe Lauzon in the summer.
Stefan Struve
Don't look now, but Struve has won four of his last five. As usual, he looked fantastic on the ground, dominating Dave Herman there en route to a TKO win. He continues to work hard on his standup but he fought in a measured style and probably took more punches than he would have liked. Using his reach remains a priority, and it's something he certainly needs to continually address as he moves up the ladder.
Prediction: He faces Gabriel Gonzaga
Dave Herman
Herman certainly made an impression, if not an impact. One of the UFC's most eccentric talents, Herman is also one of its most criticized, as rumors surrounding a less-than-stellar work ethic persist. Given his natural talent as well as his relative youth (he's still just 27), Herman has to determine whether he's getting the most out of himself, particularly in a division in which a relatively short win streak could quickly vault you to the top.
Prediction: Matt Mitrione would seem like a fun matchup for him
Stipe Miocic
Miocic stayed unbeaten with a swift, 43-second KO of Phil De Fries. Now 8-0 overall and 2-0 in the octagon, Miocic shouldn't be rushed, and should be matched up with another prospect rather than a long-established veteran.
Prediction: Strikeforce's Shane Del Rosario recently said he should be ready to fight again by the spring, and a fight with Miocic would make sense.
T.J. Dillashaw
A dominant performance from Dillashaw, who did everything but get a finish over Walel Watson. Dillashaw not only out-wrestled and out-grappled Watson, he also got the better of several striking exchanges, a nice development for him after getting knocked out by John Dodson in his UFC debut. With a strong win firmly under his belt, Dillashaw can move forward in the hopes of proving he's going to be a true force among bantamweights.
Prediction: Reuben Duran is set to return around the spring. That's a matchup of equal experience level.
Ivan Menjivar
Longtime fans probably have memories of Menjivar going back so far that they wouldn't believe he's yet to turn 30. Yet the veteran with over a decade in the game is indeed just 29 and in the midst of a three-fight win streak after a spirited comeback against John Albert on Wednesday. The former lightweight looks rejuvenated at bantamweight, so let's see what he can do against a more seasoned opponent.
Prediction: He faces Raphael Assuncao
Jonathan Brookins
Brookins has rarely been one to flash power to go with his stifling wrestling and ground game, so it came as a bit of a surprise to see him knocking out Vagner Rocha, who had never been finished in his career. Perhaps it's a new element to his game or perhaps it was a onetime fluke, but either way, he's won two of three in the UFC. A nice challenge for Brookins would be a fighter capable of challenging him either striking or on the ground.
Prediction: He faces Diego Brandao
Comments
ellenberger will face condit next
assuming he has no serious injuries from the sanchez bout, ellenberger should fight condit. i’m wondering why you suggested kos when he’s already scheduled to fight hendricks
by shplane on Feb 17, 2012 11:44 AM EST reply actions
I must have been typing the same time as you...
I commented about Hendricks as well.
I think he should face the winner of Kampmann/Alves if Condit refuses to fight.
by steven1crocker on Feb 17, 2012 11:58 AM EST up reply actions
but only if that winner is Kampmann
by steven1crocker on Feb 17, 2012 12:01 PM EST up reply actions
I don’t think that fight really makes sense, Hendricks has won 9 of his 10 fights under the Zuffa banner and Kampmann and Alves have been on somewhat of a rough stretch lately… I don’t think Ellenberger’s performance warranted a title shot given that last round, so I’d like to see him and Hendricks fight assuming Hendricks wins against Kos
by Rob2507 on Feb 17, 2012 5:42 PM EST up reply actions
I was grasping at straws...
Kampmann did lose 2 in a row, but they were against top 10 guys (at the time) and they were both controversial decisions.
I do agree that Hendricks would be a better match (if Hendricks wins)
I was just thinking that the timing might be a bit better with Kampmann.
by steven1crocker on Feb 18, 2012 4:33 PM EST up reply actions
maybe Diego wasn't top 10 at the time...
but still a respectable opponent.
by steven1crocker on Feb 18, 2012 4:35 PM EST up reply actions
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by bobby123 on Feb 19, 2012 4:06 AM EST up reply actions
Isn't Kos busy fighting Hendricks in May?
by steven1crocker on Feb 17, 2012 11:45 AM EST reply actions
Yep, totally slipped my mind. It's hard to keep track of all these twists & turns. Updated now.
by Mike Chiappetta on Feb 17, 2012 11:57 AM EST reply actions
now i agree with you
i think you’re right in that condit will sit on the sidelines until GSP is healthy, which frankly is a shame. although, he did originally decline the Diaz rematch until the fans berated him about the controversial decision, so maybe the same needs to happen with defending this fake belt.
regardless, i only see ellenberger fighting hendricks if he beats kos. they wont want to put koscheck against any top contenders, 170 hasn’t had this many challengers in a long while, we don’t need kos ruining that.
by shplane on Feb 17, 2012 12:54 PM EST up reply actions
Don't worry
Koscheck couldn’t beat Ellenberger. Koscheck is completely over-rated and i have always thought so. IMO he lost to pierce. A quick glance at his record will show of his last 10 wins(approx) only 2 are still in the UFC. None of them have been consistent top 10 either with the exception of an aging Matt Hughes. With so many good wrestlers in the WW division now he can’t rely on his wrestling anymore as seen in his bout vs pierce. And his one dimensional approach of wild right hands isn’t fooling anyone anymore. Hendricks will crush him
by kanienkeha009 on Feb 17, 2012 2:05 PM EST up reply actions
Totally agree...
Koscheck is overrated and always was. My problem with the upcoming Hendricks fight is this: Kos will last more than 12 seconds (the Fitch KO a fluke in itself), and all the Kos fans will be saying he’s better than Fitch because he lasted longer against the same guy. My only hope is that Hendricks KO’s Koscheck in 11 seconds or less.
by JitsMasta on Feb 20, 2012 1:35 PM EST up reply actions
i like the brandao vs brookins match
by XingYi on Feb 17, 2012 12:12 PM EST via mobile reply actions 1 recs
Miocic vs. Del Rosario = fireworks!
by S_L_A_D_E on Feb 17, 2012 1:57 PM EST reply actions
Herman vs. Mitrione would be a fantastic scrap.
Would absolutely love to see that match-up.
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by Shaun Al-Shatti on Feb 17, 2012 1:59 PM EST reply actions
Sounds awesome to me too
Does Matt have a fight lined up yet? I can’t wait to see him again, would love to see him bounce back from the disappointing Kongo fight.
by smithdl on Feb 17, 2012 2:15 PM EST up reply actions
I don't think he does...
After he lost to Kongo he said he wanted to take a bit of time to work on his game rather than jump directly into another camp for another fight.
But the other day on his twitter he said he was ready to get an opponent lined up and start a camp.
by steven1crocker on Feb 17, 2012 2:58 PM EST reply actions
that's a reply to smithdl
by steven1crocker on Feb 17, 2012 2:59 PM EST up reply actions
oh yes
that sounds right. I really hope he gets some good work in on his ground game in this time off. His standup is pretty polished for being so inexperienced, and despite his age, I believe he has a lot of potential to do some real work in HW
by smithdl on Feb 17, 2012 3:41 PM EST up reply actions
these all sound good
These sound good. Great job.
I wonder if Mitrione will be Bigfoot’s super elusive mystery opponent in May since he hasn’t had a fight mentioned.
if it’s not VS Bigfoot the Herman fight sounds great.
Brandao vs Brookins sound very good.
by shonuf1 on Feb 17, 2012 4:15 PM EST reply actions
Brookins v, Brandao
Great match-up, but how do I cheer for BOTH?
by Hulka's Big Toe on Feb 17, 2012 5:25 PM EST reply actions
Struve vs. Gonzaga? Idk
I wanna see Struve tested against somebody higher up in the rankings than Gonzaga, maybe have him fight the winner of Kongo/Hunt? And I would love to see Ellenberger fight Hendricks, I’m gonna be very disappointed if Koscheck wins that fight
by Rob2507 on Feb 17, 2012 5:36 PM EST reply actions
Agree with the Gonzaga point...
Struve just won 2 in a row, each as the night’s co main event.
Gonzaga does have a name, but he’s coming off a victory in a prelim fight against a guy who hadn’t previously fought in the UFC.
Struve has fought 10 UFC fights, is 7-3 in those 10 fights and has won 2 in a row… I can’t say for sure if he is ready, but I’d put him against someone in the bottom half of the top 10 or maybe Kongo if he beats Hunt.
by steven1crocker on Feb 17, 2012 5:54 PM EST up reply actions
putting him against Bigfoot could be another option
by steven1crocker on Feb 17, 2012 5:57 PM EST up reply actions
oooooooooooooo
BIG FOOT would be a terrific match up i dont think winner of Kongo should be an option though.
Kongo just may get the Title shot with this win he’s on quite the streak right now. And whos next up anyway definitely not Cain
I’m not resting until I’m officially Anderson Silva status.- Jon "Bones" Jones
by AfroSamurai on Feb 18, 2012 6:01 AM EST up reply actions
Also . . .
am I the only one who thinks Diego Brandao is basically the Mini-Me version of Wanderlei Silva?
by Hulka's Big Toe on Feb 17, 2012 5:54 PM EST reply actions
Na I completely agree with you there bro lol Brandao’s a tad bit more technical but he’s very Wanderlei-esque when he swarms
by Rob2507 on Feb 17, 2012 8:18 PM EST up reply actions
Great Fights you have picked out
Esp liked
Gonzaga Vs. Struve really fun fight here both beast on ground and keep coming.
Herman and Mitrion- Great fight and Test
Stipoic vs sF guy sounds really good too
I’m not resting until I’m officially Anderson Silva status.- Jon "Bones" Jones
by AfroSamurai on Feb 18, 2012 6:00 AM EST reply actions
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