I have decided not to include reasons for the picks/bets in this post as there are other poster's who do pretty good breakdowns of cards here and I'm way too lazy to write it all out. I will however comment below if there are reasons I disagree with other poster's breakdowns. I may also give a quick 1 or 2 lines for the bets if for some reason the regular breakdown posters don't do one for this event.
Here are the picks for UFC 169:
My bets for tonight:
Risking 16 units to win a possible 32.57
Normally I don't like to bet trebles(3 leg parlays) as so much can happen (random DQs / weird stuff / crazy upsets) but I feel it's justified here due to Barao and Faber having fought before so we have a fair idea what to expect.
Also, props are a big gamble so to parlay them is usually something I would never do but I feel Overeem is SO likely to KO Frank Mir it was justified in this spot. Lamas surviving 5 rounds is possible but unlikely IMHO.
Lineker's weight issues are always a bit of a scare but he was much better this time and eventually did make weight unlike the last 2 times. Also, he looked in slightly better shape at the weigh ins than normal too so I don't think the cut will affect the fight.
Barao by decision is currently priced at even money and I am very much considering betting that. Will comment if I do, during the event.