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UFC on Fuel TV 8: Bets, Predictions and Breakdowns for the Full Fight Card This Saturday

Preliminaries




Starting at 170 lbs: Marcelo Guimaraes vs. Hyun Gyu Lim

Guimaraes has had a single appearance in the Octagon and it was one of the most disheartening things to watch. I am not going to get into his game at all. Lim on the other hand. I started looking into his career and everything I found was amazing. Power strikes on the ground were efficient. Standup, not so bad.

My Bet: Hyun Gyu Lim with a finishing move followed by heavy ground strikes in Round One

Alex Caceres vs. Kyung Ho Kang

Southpaw versus Traditional stance and I have a great feeling someone gets their ass kicked in this one. I have seen Kang get stunned and get up to toss his guy and cut through his guard with ease. Caceres has an active guard, but it's been passed several times in the UFC.

Kang also throws fast punches with force behind them. Hands always in the right place. My pick lands at Ho Kang.

My Bet: Kang by Submission

Caceres gets cut 3-4

Kazuki Tokudome vs Cristiano Marcello

Who the shit knows what is going to happen in this fight? These guys are both funny looking and the only times I've seen Cristian is when he was getting his ass kicked on TUF Brazil. He was like the worst fighter on that show. But, I have also seen that video of him choke-slamming that afroed bum backstage at Pride about a million times, laughing my ass off!

Toku looks like a geeky guy who would run away when he gets hit. I have not seen his fights at all. This is a fight I stay far far away from with my money. Just because they both look like assholes.

My Pick: Cristiano Marcello by Default

Bryan Caraway vs Takeya Mizugaki

Did you see Caraway's fight with Mitch Gagnon? Go find it!

Takeya on the other hand, hasn't yet had a fight in the UFC where someone has said 'Hey, dude have you seen Mizugaki vs Hougland?' Not a fucking chance. He went all Miguel Torres on us and changed his style to straight grindage, which isn't the best idea for a striker, in my opinion.

Takeya lost me some money before. So I might have just taken that a little too personally. But, look at the record of fucking Takeya Mizugaki. He has not put together two-straight wins since 2008. This is a big no no for me. DANGER ZONE.

My bet: Bryan Caraway by complete manhandling

Brad Tavares vs. Riki Fukuda

These two have taken the main event on FX and they have both been in some long, tough, grueling matches. Beside Tavares' stoppage win over Phil Baroni, both fighters have seen nothing but scorecards throughout their entire UFC careers.

Tavares fights with Court McGee, Seth Baczynski and Aaron Simpson were prior to those three moving down to welterweight.

Fukuda is a bonafide middleweight. But, nothing he does is notable. I really liked Dongi Yang a lot more. He was younger, more aggressive and tenacious. Tavares beat Yang. Some fighters fight with their speed & power, some with their mind, or sheer will. I only see Fukuda as a point fighter, Tavares has stopped dudes by KO and is also more than capable of grinding out wins.

I feel a little bad for Fukuda because his record shows: loss -- win -- loss -- win -- win the UFC. So i'm not too sure about that sort of pattern ending with yet another crappy decision. I bet too much on one dimensional grapplers.

My Bet: Brad Tavares by Technical Knockout (TKO) in Round Three.

Main Card

Dong Hyun Kim vs. Siyar Bahadurzada

Kim has been inconsistent. He is another fighter who has yet to put two-straight wins together for a great while. Siyar has also been off-track having only the forty-two second planking of Paulo Thiago in 2012. Kim just defeated Thiago in a dull decision and he didn't show effective ground strikes at all. But, Siyar hasn't shown a jumping switch knee either...

As much as I want to stay away from this fight, I don't know if I can resist. I'm thinking the grinding of Hyun gets it done. But he has been stopped by muscle spasm so I'm not sure if Siyar "The Great" is a bad choice. After all, that win -- loss -- win -- loss -- pattern is little iffy.

My bet as of now: Dong Hyun Kim by Unanimous Decision (UD) *subject to change* (possibly Baha by KO)



Mizuto Hirota vs. Rani Yahya

Here is a fun one!

At first I was locked on Yahya by decision. But, I'm starting to shift to the complete opposite direction. Yahya only had a single fight in 2012 over the bed shitter Josh Grispi. Yahya is certainly the more seasoned ground specialist. But, I'm not going to punk out again and bet on the one trick ponies.

My bet: Hirota by Stoppage in Round One



Diego Sanchez vs. Takanori Gomi

Gomi's last appearance was in Macao, China. He was the underdog and won a decision over the always tough Mac Danzig. Diego Sanchez has made the move back to 155 lbs where many feel he rightfully belongs.

I'm not sure how Sanchez decides to approach Gomi's power punching style. Will he look to shoot right away, and if he lands a takedown, will he look to finish with a submission or strikes? Gomi is just a little too ordinary for me to choose during these times in the UFC. He's no threat with submissions and Diego has proven to be more than able to take a punch at both Welterweight and Lightweight. Sanchez sets the pace -- gets the takedowns -- passes guard and the fight is over. Or just a repeated ass kicking every round. There is no other way I see this one playing out.

My Bet: Diego Sanchez by Unanimous Decision



Hector Lombard vs. Yushin Okami

Against Buddy Roberts, Okami didn't show the ability to get takedowns at will in the first round. He was 50/50 for takedowns -- but finished the fight nonetheless. I see that being a problem against Lombard, though. Don't be fooled that Okami will be towering over "Shango" at 6'2" to Lombard's 5'9" frame. Lombard is the heavier handed southpaw and swings with knockout power in every punch. I suspect he will aim for the chin with those and be successful in landing his second KO in the UFC.

Lets look past the punches and kicks, shall we. Like, if Okami can tie him up right away, get a takedown, even if Lombard pops up to make him pay for it -- Yushin can still keep him off balance with attempts to lock a hold of Lombard. When I first thought of this one, I figured Lombard would be patient and eventually waste his chance to KO Okami early. But, southpaw vs. southpaw -- who knows what's in store for us fans?

My Bet: Lombard by KO in Round One

Mark Hunt vs. Stefan Struve

Here is a Heavyweight tilt that can certainly put either man in a top spot at 265 lbs. If you tear into the past UFC fights of Struve, it is like watching a horror film with a happy ending every now and again. The guy takes a ton of damage for a guy who stands much taller than the others. He is like a heavyweight Nate Diaz -- but, I have never seen Nate get beat as badly as Struve's been.

Struve tends to cover up and never really takes the center and uses his jab. Hunt keeps his shots short and powerful. Which could be good or bad against Struve. If he can't reach him before Struve locks on to a submission, he can forget it.

I like Struves chances at making a mistake here. All it takes is one at HW. I believe Hunt has the balls and brains to fight out of submission holds.

I see this being Fight of the Night and or Knockout of the Night

My Bet: Mark hunt by Technical Knockout (TKO) in Round One



Brian Stann vs. Wanderlei Silva

Wanderlei had a five rounder with Rich Franklin and managed to put him on his ass with a big punch. But, I don't think such a shot will land on the more orthodox Stann -- if so -- the marine will not hesitate to return fire.

One may look at the common opponent in Michael Bisping. Wandy beat Bisping by decision whereas Stann was defeated by Bisping by decision in his last outing. Don't count out the Chris Leben fights, though. Leben finished Wandy in thirty-two seconds, while Stann became only the second man to knockout Leben.

I predict Stann makes Wandy fall in minutes

My Bet: Brian Stann by First Round Knockout (KO).

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